Two more trustworthy rules for debugging are to keep an audit trail and to only declare a bug fixed if you fixed it. The first rule is self explanatory. Just make sure you use a consistent format for all your logging. That will help later when you try to filter all the audit data.
If you think you have a fix, remove it and see if the problem comes back. If not, then you probably have not fixed the problem. You have to be sure of yourself here.
Here are some last ideas. Try and get a diagram of the whole system you are debugging. Feel free to ask for help. When you do get help, you should request that assistants just report the symptoms. You don't need theories. Good luck with your debugging. I have made a career out of this activity myself.
You're Doing It Wrong - I got on a conference call for our latest software release. The new project manager asked the test team to verify a bunch of tickets. A bunch came out fai...